Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.004492 0.005058 0.005701 0.006489 0.007440 0.008562 0.010006
2026-02-08 0.003584 0.004261 0.005092 0.006209 0.007704 0.009690 0.012628
2026-02-15 0.003194 0.003943 0.004916 0.006314 0.008342 0.011315 0.016294
2026-02-22 0.002845 0.003606 0.004635 0.006187 0.008585 0.012383 0.019454
2026-03-01 0.002558 0.003309 0.004356 0.005998 0.008664 0.013179 0.022419
2026-03-08 0.002343 0.003084 0.004145 0.005865 0.008792 0.014062 0.025899
2026-03-15 0.002239 0.003002 0.004129 0.006028 0.009433 0.016037 0.032726
2026-03-22 0.002164 0.002955 0.004157 0.006260 0.010238 0.018586 0.042678
2026-03-29 0.002108 0.002928 0.004210 0.006538 0.011190 0.021794 0.057408
2026-04-05 0.001990 0.002796 0.004077 0.006463 0.011409 0.023360 0.068352
2026-04-12 0.001886 0.002676 0.003954 0.006389 0.011613 0.024968 0.081519
2026-04-19 0.001774 0.002538 0.003786 0.006209 0.011548 0.025825 0.092595
2026-04-26 0.001649 0.002375 0.003575 0.005942 0.011288 0.026203 0.103176
2026-05-03 0.001538 0.002229 0.003384 0.005694 0.011040 0.026585 0.115359
2026-05-10 0.001488 0.002181 0.003361 0.005787 0.011647 0.030066 0.159388
2026-05-17 0.001415 0.002088 0.003248 0.005675 0.011708 0.031703 0.195517
2026-05-24 0.001339 0.001988 0.003116 0.005507 0.011586 0.032619 0.229797
2026-05-31 0.001277 0.001907 0.003012 0.005390 0.011583 0.034050 0.281388
2026-06-07 0.001253 0.001889 0.003026 0.005534 0.012359 0.039409 0.457829
2026-06-14 0.001236 0.001885 0.003064 0.005739 0.013382 0.046973 0.894811
2026-06-21 0.001225 0.001888 0.003116 0.005986 0.014623 0.057317 2.346162
2026-06-28 0.001181 0.001830 0.003043 0.005919 0.014804 0.061516 4.359982
2026-07-05 0.001140 0.001776 0.002974 0.005853 0.014976 0.065977 9.702554